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Read
all about
The Current Market Sentiment here
The presidential elections in France and the parliament
elections in Greece results are still putting pressure on the
single currency as they looked to the market like a referendum
on the austerities measures like this which has been asked by
the previous Greek PM George Papandreou which lead to his
resignation last year after retreating back of doing it amid
strong criticism from EU core funding countries of the Greek
debt as it is obvious that the streets in the countries south of
Europe which are suffering from debt crisis are against these
measures.
These measures included cuts of the public sector wages and jobs
and cuts of the governmental spending and in the same time
increasing of the taxes to dampen the growth in the same time
they cut the deficit of these debt ailing countries budgets.
But the situation is different surely from France to Greece as
it is not allowed to this last one to say no these measures and
there is no leeway to go through without the European strict
following up specially after announcing the second bailing out
plan of Greece which counted this expected change into its
account in its structure.
While the case in France is another thing as it will be required
from the wealthy people to pay much with this new social
president who promised to make a change in the EU fiscal pact in
the benefit of the current struggling EU growth and this stance
has effected negatively on the French stocks market as Germany
can not accept this change easily and this can cause a split
between these 2 countries who are the main EU policies markers
in the face of the crisis which can lead to cracks inside the
Euro zone which is suffering strong downside growth risks and
weak labor market as what has been highlighted recently from The
ECB president who looked worried last week after the ECB
decision to keep the interest rate unchanged about the labor
market in EU which carries the negative impact of debt crisis
and the negative impact of the governmental efforts for getting
over it by cutting its spending and hiking the taxes with rising
of March EU unemployment to 10.9% showing persisting difficulty
facing this sector and this pushed him to call for restructure
reforms and spending on the infrastructures for supporting
demand in this market for adding more jobs.
The ECB is still looking for positive changes by its recent
LTROs 2 rounds in the European economy as they have done in the
banking sector inside the EU which has been saved by this
program but its impact on the European economy is still looking
lagged behind and the sack of confidence in the euro zone
economy can move it forward to take more steps in stimulating
this economy which is giving weak signs and this prospective is
putting pressure on the single currency versus the greenback
from another side as it is not looking crucial to be done by the
Fed as it looks currently in the euro zone so, it looks now that
the ECB is the closer one to these measures than the Fed.
The ECB has not given last week hinting of a new LTROs or an
interest rate cut decision which has not been discussed in the
last meeting of its member as what has been announced in the
press conference after it showing appreciation of the current
inflation upside risks which are resulted from the high energy,
commodities prices and the imposed taxes while the downside
risks are pushing down by the economic slowing down expecting
the inflation to stance above the ECB 2% y/y target in 2012
before easing below it in the beginning of 2013 by God's will.
after opening this week below its
previous support at 1.3056 falling below its psychological level
at 1.30 reaching 1.2953 in the beginning of the week, this pair
can meet another supporting level at 1.2930, 1.2874 before
1.2631 which has been the pair formed bottom on 13th
of last January while getting up again can face resistance at
1.30 63 whereas it has failed to recover further this week to
fall again below 1.30 and in the case of breaking it, it can
meet a higher resistance at 1.3180 and this can be followed by
1.3281 which its breaking can open the way to 1.3384 again
before 1.3489 whereas it has formed its recent top and in the
case of breaking 1.3489 the pair can meet other resisting levels
at 1.3546, 1.3613, 1.3808 before 1.387 which has not been broken
since the end of last October and after several tries to break
it in last November
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